Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.078214 4.439645 4.837964 5.313324 5.870364 6.509092 7.306851
2025-11-23 3.615488 4.096160 4.663525 5.396103 6.338260 7.541952 9.256077
2025-11-30 3.302245 3.833772 4.488730 5.379366 6.601444 8.293770 10.974889
2025-12-07 2.999947 3.538027 4.219965 5.180292 6.559288 8.585861 12.078675
2025-12-14 2.751668 3.282798 3.970079 4.963881 6.442365 8.722102 12.944477
2025-12-21 2.619251 3.164165 3.885559 4.960054 6.624986 9.343652 14.858165
2025-12-28 2.494503 3.044365 3.786109 4.918730 6.736367 9.860559 16.770517
2026-01-04 2.342841 2.877412 3.607031 4.738819 6.596747 9.901048 17.666165
2026-01-11 2.258268 2.796921 3.543711 4.727087 6.731352 10.472700 20.098974
2026-01-18 2.216451 2.772569 3.558119 4.835554 7.084880 11.554725 24.603190
2026-01-25 2.350280 3.005024 3.969265 5.633431 8.851003 16.372862 48.849365
2026-02-01 2.210937 2.831037 3.746855 5.334016 8.423475 15.736278 48.430677
2026-02-08 2.082873 2.678482 3.565417 5.121260 8.210600 15.801174 53.682415
2026-02-15 2.023495 2.625999 3.539253 5.184114 8.598125 17.745928 78.978726
2026-02-22 1.954392 2.554026 3.475380 5.169355 8.812385 19.317076 114.864017
2026-03-01 1.858008 2.435301 3.327524 4.982665 8.598428 19.380859 135.157319
2026-03-08 1.765932 2.319180 3.177564 4.779453 8.316024 19.108447 150.582237
2026-03-15 1.718243 2.269351 3.134026 4.775857 8.515165 20.756050 259.621605
2026-03-22 1.667796 2.212747 3.075506 4.737012 8.620314 22.132780 498.312040
2026-03-29 1.597890 2.122843 2.956163 4.567746 8.363855 21.825096 628.267915
2026-04-05 1.559703 2.081465 2.917202 4.556700 8.523294 23.561038 3077.808308
2026-04-12 1.542628 2.072658 2.933248 4.658787 9.012204 27.457790 NaN
2026-04-19 1.620885 2.220959 3.234938 5.407077 11.677666 52.492557 NaN